1. Identify the organism or biological attribute
I have decided to study the occurrence of four tree species at Pipers Lagoon Park; Quercus garryana, Arbutus menziesii, Pseudotsuga menziesii, and Alnus Rubra.
2. Observations of organism or biological attribute along an environmental gradient.
I decided to observe the relative abundance and occurrences of species at different locations around the park. In my field notes, I compared four physically different areas which all had different combinations of surrounding influences such as their proximity to water, orientation to north, slope angle, growing substrate, and surrounding vegetation.
I found that Alnus rubra was least abundant throughout the park, and all that were present were extremely young. Young Arbutus menziesii were growing between dense Pseudotsuga menziesii trees. There were vast amounts of both Quercus garryana and Pseudotsuga menziesii trees, where Quercus garryana appeared to occur mainly on rocky coastlines closes to the water.
3. Postulate one hypothesis and make one formal prediction based on that hypothesis.
A major environmental influence observed while traversing the area is direct and altered wind. Along the Northern coastline waves and wind hit the land vigorously and create a relatively more harsh environment. The South portion is protected by physical effects from the lagoon, where waves are dispersed and the area is protected from wind by the length of the tied island.

I have also considered the amount of sunlight each portion of the island receives. On the North side the sun rises without being blocked, however, on the South side the sun becomes hidden by a hill diminishing the amount of net sunlight possible.
Hypothesis: Quercus garryana trees are more abundant where there is a large amount of sunlight and protection from direct ocean wind.
I predict that Quercus garryana will be most abundant on the South coastline where there is little to no ocean breeze and a gradual landscape. I also predict that Pseudotsuga menziesii will be most abundant on the Northern coast where there is harsh wind and rocky bluffs.
4. Potential response variable and potential explanatory variable and whether they would be categorical or continuous.
The potential response variable is tree species abundance, which is categorical in which the trees will be assigned to their respected category. The predictor variable is relative exposure to ocean breeze/wind, which will be categorical relative to each site conditions.
The experiment is not manipulative, and is defined as a logistic regression experimental design for analyzing the presence or absence of four tree species due to environmental influences.