Blog Post 4

Blog post 4

 

I chose the Mohen Hill tutorial

 

Haphazard technique – 12 hours 20 min

Systemic technique – 12 hours, 39 min

Random technique – 12 hours , 10 min

Haphazard :

Common species

–  Red maple  T = 403.1 E= 408.3

% error = 1.14%

– White Oak  T= 74.5 E= 75

%error = 0.67 %

Rare species

  • Downy Juneberry T= 9.9 E= 12.5

% error = 26.3 %

  • Striped Maple T= 13.6 E= 25.0

% error = 83.8 %

Does accuracy change with species abundance ? Yes Accuracy changes with species abundance. The % error for the common species was very low compared to the % error for the rare species.

Systemic technique

Common species

  • Red maple T = 403.7 E= 424

% error = 5%

  • White Oak T= 74.5 E= 84

% error = 12.8%

Rare species

  • Black tupelo T= 35.5 E= 4

% error = 88.73 %

  • Downy Juneberry T= 9.9 E= 24.0

% error = 142.4 %

 

Does accuracy change with species abundance? Yes accuracy seems to change with abundance as the % for the common species is again low compared to the % error for the rare species.

Random Technique

Common species

  • Red maple T= 403.7 E= 413.0

% error = 2.3 %

  • White Oak T= 74.5 E= 91.3

% error = 22.56%

Rare species

  • American Basswood T= 1.5 E= 4.3

% error = 186.67%

  • Downy Juneberry T= 9.9 E= 13

% error = 31%

Does accuracy change with species abundance? Accuracy does not seem to change with abundance with this technique. The percent errors are all quite high compared to other techniques – except Red Maple.

 

Comparing the Shannon Weiner diversity indexes – it appears that Haphazard was the most accurate T= 1.8 E= 1.7

 

Random- T= 1.8 E= 1.6

Systematic T= 1.8 E= 1.4

Blog Post 4: Sampling Strategies

For this blog I looked at haphazard, systematic and random along with area-sample method and distance-sample method.  While looking at the virtual forest tutorial I determined that the fastest way to do the sampling was with the haphazard distance method.  This method could say several hours in sampling time.

When comparing the percentage error of the different strategies for the most common and rarest species the accuracy did change with species abundance.  I found that using the random/systematic area method of sampling to have the lowest percent error the majority of the time.   However, there were two different  sample  of the most common species for the different sites that had a lower percent error using the  distance haphazard sampling method.

Post 4: Artificial Reality

According to my digital field experiments in the synthesized Snyder-Middleswarth State Park Natural Area, the systematic sampling method was the most time-efficient (12:o6, hh:mm), followed by haphazard (12:23) and random (12:48) methods.

The percentage errors for estimates of the most common and most rare species are shown in the table below:

Percent Error of
Sampling Methods
Species Systematic Random Haphazard
Most Common Species Eastern Hemlock

37%

36%

3%

Sweet Birch

43%

22%

26%

Least Common Species Striped Maple

100%

100%

43%

White Pine

100%

100%

49%

As the data suggest, accuracy of estimates were poorer when the species was more rare. Estimates are more accurate when the species in question occur frequently relative to other species.

Consistently, haphazard sampling produced the sample that most closely reflected true species abundance.

Sampling Strategies

For this assignment, I sampled tree species virtually be means of three sampling techniques: simple random, systematic and haphazard. I selected an area based method for Snyder-Middleswarth natural area. The technique that was the most efficient in terms of time spent was the systematic sampling method which took 12 hours, 35 minutes. The next fastest sampling technique was haphazard sampling at 12 hours, 39 minutes, while the slowest method was random sampling which took 12 hours, 49 minutes.

The following is the percentage error calculated using (E – T)/T*100, where E = estimated value and T = true value

Most common specie – Eastern Hemlock

systematic: 6.3% error

random: 26.7% error

haphazard: 2.0% error

Second most common specie – Sweet Birch

systematic: 1.3% error

random: 24.0% error

haphazard: 27.7% error

Most rare specie – White Pine

systematic: 233.3% error

random: 49.7% error

haphazard: 48.8% error

Second most rare specie – Striped Maple

systematic: 100.0% error

random: 76.0% error

haphazard: 28.6% error

From the results, the most accurate sampling strategy for common species was systematic, while the most accurate method for rare species was haphazard. The accuracy declined substantially for rare species, especially in the systematic sampling method. Accuracy increases with greater species abundance.

I was surprised to see that the systematic sampling method had the highest percentage error for rare species. This might be due to a low species density distribution along the two y coordinates used in the systematic method. Additionally, it would be interesting to observe a change in accuracy for species in the community from using more then 24 sample points.

Blog Post 4 for Katarina Duke

Three sampling methods were used in gathering data from the Mohn Mill community using the virtual forest tutorial: haphazard, random, and systematic.

An equal number of quadrats were sampled (i.e. 30 each) with the systematic sampling technique having the fastest sampling time but, the sampling time for all three methods remained within the range of 15 to 16 hours. The haphazard method had a sampling time of 15 hours and 57 minutes, and the random sampling method has a sample time of 15 hours and 49 minutes.

In all three sampling strategies, Red Maple and White Oak were determined to be the two most common species; However, the results for the two rarest species differed for each method (i.e. American Basswood, Sweet Birch, White Ash, and Hawthorn).

  1. Haphazard or convenience sampling

Using the area, haphazard sampling technique for the Mohn Mill community, American basswood and Hawthorn were the two rarest species as indicated by the actual importance value.

·         Hawthorn

Actual importance value: 0.6

Calculated importance value: 0.4

 

·         Sweet birch

Actual importance value:  0.2

Calculated importance value: 0.7

 

 

  1. Random sampling

 

Using the area, random sampling technique for the Mohn Mill community, White ash and Hawthorn were the two rarest species as indicated by the actual importance value.

 

·         White Ash

Actual importance value: 0.2

Calculated importance value: 0.6

 

·         Hawthorn

Actual importance value: 0.6

Calculated importance value: 0.6

 

 

 

 

  1. Systematic sampling

 

Using the area, systematic sampling technique for the Mohn Mill community, American basswood and Sweet birch were the two rarest species as indicated by the actual importance value.

·         American basswood:

Actual importance value: 0.2

Calculated importance value: 1.5

 

·         Sweet birch:

Actual importance value: 0.2

Calculated importance value: 0.7

 

For all three sampling methods—haphazard, random, and systematic sampling—the accuracy improved with abundance.

Of the three methods, the random sampling method had the highest accuracy.

I found it interesting that the systematic method of sampling had skewed the density of the rare species to such a substantial extent, making a haphazard sampling approach appear to be a more desirable sampling method. I was also surprised to see haphazard having the degree of accuracy it did.

A reason for the lack of accuracy using the systematic sampling method could potentially be using a transect sampling method in conjunction with the systematic method. I selected the samples at regular distances along the transect, with the initial point randomly chosen. As stated in “Tutorial: Sampling techniques,” systematic sampling can produce problems if the points correspond to an underlying environmental pattern, which perhaps is the case for Mohn Mill community.

I am curious about the results stratified sampling and transects would obtain. For stratified sampling, the tree population would be split into somewhat homogenous groups (same species). I predict the accuracy for stratified sampling would be equivalent to, if not better than, the accuracy of random sampling and that the common species determined would match. I think stratified sampling would determine the rarest species to be Hawthorn and Sweet birch due to their occurrence in two of sampling methods used.

A method I am aware of that is commonly used in the forestry industry is the point-centered quarter method, where a point in the center of the forest is identified and then the area surrounding it is separated into four quarters. I am surprised this method was not within the tutorial given its common use in relation to trees. I’d be interested in seeing how the method compares to those used within the tutorial in terms of the rare species determined and accuracy.

 

Blog Post 4: Sampling Strategies

For this assignment, I was required to use the systematic sampling method, the random sampling method and also the haphazard sampling method in the virtual forest tutorial. The sampling technique with the fastest estimate sampling time ended up being the systematic sampling method with a time of 12 hours and 34 minutes. The next fastest sampling time was the random sampling method at 12 hours and 41 minutes, and the slowest sampling technique ended up being the haphazard method with a time of 12 hours and 49 minutes.

The two most common species were: Red Maple and Witch Hazel

The percentage error of the two most common species:

Systematic:

Red Maple= 9.8% error

Witch Hazel= 12.2% error

Random:

Red Maple= 22.4% error

Witch Hazel= 48.2% error

Haphazard:

Red Maple= 13.1% error

Witch Hazel= 33.3% error

 

The two rarest species were: Sweet Birch and Hawthorn

The percentage error of the two rarest species:

Systematic:

Sweet Birch = 82.7% error

Hawthorn = 14.9% error

Random:

Sweet Birch = 24.4% error

Hawthorn = 62.4% error

Haphazard:

Sweet Birch = 55.7% error

Hawthorn = 71.1% error

 

From the results, on average the trend seems to be that the accuracy increases when there is a greater species abundance, in other words the greater the species abundance the less of a percentage error there was.

Systematic sampling method percentage error (more accurate on average): 29.9%

Random sampling method percentage error: 39.35%

Haphazard method percentage error: 43.3%

So, as you can see the systematic sampling method has the lowest percentage error and therefore, is on average the most accurate.

 

Blog Post 4: Sampling Strategies

Three sampling strategies, inclusive of systematic, random, and haphazard, were used in the virtual sampling tutorial. The technique with the fastest estimated sampling time was systematic sampling (12 hours and 31 minutes).

Eastern hemlock and sweet birch were the two most common species in this tutorial. Systematic sampling yielded the lowest percent error for eastern hemlock (1.98%), however, percent error for sweet birch was lowest when the haphazard sampling technique was applied (17%).

Eastern Hemlock: Systematic = 1.98% error, Random = 32.3% error, Haphazard = 10.8% error

Sweet Birch: Systematic = 36.17% error, Random = 46.21% error, Haphazard = 17% error

Overall, when comparing percent error results for the two most common species, haphazard sampling had the lowest overall average percent error (13.9%), compared to systematic sampling (19.1%) and random sampling (39.3%).

The random sampling strategy proved to be the most accurate technique for the two rarest species: striped maple and white pine. Percent error for striped maple using the random sampling technique was still quite high, despite having the lowest error of all the techniques applied.

Striped maple: Systematic = 76% error, Random = 50.9% error, Haphazard = 114% error

White pine: Systematic = 100% error, Random = 2.4% error, Haphazard = 100% error

Random sampling, on average, was the most accurate technique when used to sample the rarest species (26.7% error), as compared to systematic sampling (88% error) and haphazard sampling (107% error).

Overall, greater species abundance led to greater accuracy.

Blog Post 4: Sampling Strategies

Three sampling methods were used in gathering data from the Snyder-Middleswarth Natural Area in the virtual forest tutorial: systematic sampling, random sampling, and haphazard sampling.

The systematic sampling method had the fastest estimated sampling time of 12 hours and 34 minutes. In contrast, the random sampling method had an estimated sampling time of 12 hours and 44 minutes. The haphazard sampling method had the longest estimated sampling time of 12 hours and 59 minutes.

The percentage error of the two most common and two rarest species for each sampling method are summarised below:

As observed from Table 1.4, on average, when the percentage errors of the two most common with the two rarest species in each sampling method are compared, it can be observed that accuracy increases with greater species abundance.

Furthermore, the systematic sampling method was more accurate on average (21.1%) than the random sampling method (30.78%) or the haphazard method (37.1%).

This result was surprising, having previously assumed that a method employing more randomisation in sample selection would have a smaller percentage error in its data collection. Perhaps because the species density distribution did not vary considerably along the y-coordinate plane, the samples collected using the systematic sampling method were (on average) more representative of actual data than the random sampling method (which had selected areas at random to sample, regardless of the evident topographic gradient).

It would be interesting to observe whether the relative accuracies of the sampling strategies would change if a much larger sample size was tested. Additionally, if would be interesting to observe whether a stratified random sampling method would have greater accuracy than the systematic sampling method for the Snyder-Middleswarth Natural Area.

 

Blog 4: Sampling Strategies

The virtual forest tutorial had three different strategies to collect data which are systematic sampling, random sampling, and haphazard sampling. The strategy that had the quickest estimated time was systematic sampling with a time of 12 hours and 37 minutes. Not far behind though was random sampling at 12 hours and 45 minutes, and in last with the slowest time of 12 hours and 58 minutes was haphazard sampling.

The 2 most common tree species were the Sweet Birch and the Eastern Hemlock, and the systematic sampling technique proved to be the most accurate for them. Random sampling also did okay and so did haphazard, but that was only for the Sweet Birch, whereas for the Eastern Hemlock the error was much higher.

Systematic 

E. Hemlock – 17.4% error,  S. Birch- 15.7% error

Random

E. Hemlock- 21% error, S. Birch- 26.2% error

Haphazard

E. Hemlock- 47.4% error, S. Birch 22.3% error

When it came to the two least common species, White Pine and Striped Maple, the technique that seemed to be most accurate overall was random sampling, with an exception being 15.1% error using the haphazard method for Striped Maple.

Systematic

W. Pine- 131.7% error, S. Maple- 129.9%

Random

W. Pine- 49% error, S. Maple- 17.4%

Haphazard 

W. Pine- 175.8% error, S. Maple- 15.1%

I found that was the abundance of the species decreased, the percentage error increased.

Blog Post 4: Sampling Strategies

The virtual forest tutorial allowed one to test three different sampling strategies: systematic sampling, random sampling and haphazard sampling. It was determined that the fastest estimated sampling time was the systematic sampling technique at 12 hours and 35 minutes. Following this was the random and haphazard techniques, with 12 hours and 43 minutes and 13 hours and 9 minutes, respectively.

The most common tree species were Eastern Hemlock and Red Maple. Systematic sampling was the most accurate of the three techniques when obtaining samples of Eastern Hemlock and Red Maple, with 17.4% and 14.4% error respectively. Random sampling of Eastern Hemlock resulted in a 20.6% error and haphazard resulted in 44.7% error. The sampling of Red Maple by the haphazard technique had 14.4% error, tying for the most accurate with systematic sampling. The least accurate technique was random sampling with 26.4% error.

The least common tree species were Striped Maple and White Pine. Of the three sampling techniques, random sampling was the most accurate. The percent error was 18.9% for Striped Maple and 50% for White Pine. Though random sampling was the most accurate overall, haphazard was more accurate when sampling striped maple with 14.3% error. Systematic was the least accurate with 128.6% error. White pine had the lowest density out of the tree species and the percent error was the greatest. The least accurate technique was haphazard with 185.7% error. Systematic sampling had 138.1% error.

Systematic sampling was the most accurate technique with the most common species. Alternatively, the most accurate technique with the least common species was random sampling. As the abundance of species decreased, the percent error increased; the exception to this was Red Maple.