User: | Open Learning Faculty Member:
Well, to begin with, 24 samples is not nearly enough to get an accurate picture of this region.
Name |
Density (actual) |
Density (systematic) |
% error |
Density (random) |
% error |
Density (haphazard) |
% error |
Eastern Hemlock |
469.9 |
444.0 |
5.5% |
675.0 |
44% |
279.2 |
41% |
Sweet Birch |
117.5 |
176.0 |
50% |
129.2 |
10% |
83.3 |
29% |
Striped Maple |
17.5 |
8.0 |
54% |
8.3 |
52% |
12.5 |
29% |
White Pine |
8.4 |
4.0 |
52% |
0.0 |
100% |
12.5 |
49% |
Haphazard had the fastest estimated sample time (12:31), but only marginally (systematic was 12:35 and random was 12:42).
Which technique would generally be most accurate for the most common species is inconclusive, as percentage error varied wildly in this sampling. The most common tree, Eastern Hemlock, had 5.5% error in systematic, but that shot up to 50% for the next most common, Sweet Birch. Similarly, Eastern Hemlock had 44% error for random sampling, but Sweet Birch had only 10%.
For the two most rare species, haphazard sampling outperformed the other two techniques, but was still fairly inaccurate.
Across all seven plants, the error margins were all over the place. Haphazard sampling was the only technique consistently falling under 50% error, falling between 1.3% and 49%, with a mean across all seven plants of 25%. Random sampling was the least consistent, giving between 1.1% and 100% error, with a mean of 49%. Systematic sampling varied between 5.5% and 54%, with a mean of 35%. There was no discernible correlation between density and error in any of the three.
Based on this, it would seem that haphazard is the most reliably accurate method, but I am deeply skeptical due to the small sample size and high variability in all three. I am inclined to think that I just got a rotten data set this time around.